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28M Ounces of Silver Delivered… But Nothing Moved?

YouTube: GoldSilver (Mike Maloney) Tier 3 2026-03-12 21:07 UTC 📖 1 min read Neutral 📹 Video
Silver

Nearly 28Moz of silver was reportedly “delivered” via COMEX futures in March, yet COMEX inventory figures did not materially change. The key point is mechanical: on COMEX, delivery commonly represents the transfer of a warehouse warrant (title/ownership document) rather than immediate physical movement of bars out of a vault. The segment argues that the same metal can remain in the same approved depository while the warrant changes hands between parties, so large delivery volume can coexist with stable reported stocks. In this framing, delivery statistics are more indicative of ownership turnover within the COMEX vaulting system than of physical drawdowns. Market implication: traders should be cautious about interpreting high delivery months as an automatic signal of tightening physical availability. Better near-term tightness indicators remain: changes in registered vs eligible stocks, sustained net withdrawals, lease rates, EFP/arb dynamics, and spot-futures spreads (backwardation/contango) rather than delivery counts alone. Catalyst watch: end-of-month post-delivery stock reports and any subsequent registered-stock declines that would confirm (or refute) true physical off-take. Contrarian risk: while warrants can churn without movement, persistent high deliveries combined with rising load-outs/withdrawals would still matter—so the “nothing moved” conclusion depends on follow-through in depository activity and stock category shifts, which are not provided in the available excerpt.

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